Possible scenario
Ossoff Wins Outright
55% Chance
Jon Ossoff converts his polling lead into a first-round general election victory, avoiding a runoff. His advantage is most likely sustained by strong metro Atlanta performance, incumbency, and continued weakness for Mike Collins among suburban moderates.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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