Possible scenario
Ossoff Survives Runoff
18% Chance
Ossoff finishes first in November but falls below Georgia's majority threshold, forcing a runoff against Collins. The incumbent remains favored because he starts from a lead and benefits from national Democratic spending in a one-on-one contest.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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