Possible scenario
Rollback Mostly Sticks
38% Chance
The Justice Department's Civil Rights Division succeeds in ending most of the long-running desegregation consent decrees by arguing that districts have reached unitary status or that federal supervision is outdated. Many local school boards accept dismissal to reduce reporting obligations and legal costs, while the Education Department's Office for Civil Rights remains focused on narrower complaint-based enforcement.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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