Possible scenario
Limited Security Package
19% Chance
A narrower outcome is that the U.S. explores legally permissible, nonlethal, or dual-use security-related equipment rather than true armaments. This could include aviation safety systems, maritime rescue equipment, communications gear, or spare parts, but would face scrutiny from Congress and national-security agencies.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.6%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- RTX+0.7%
- GD+0.5%
- LHX+0.4%
- BA+0.2%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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