Possible scenario
Device Issue Returns
18% Chance
A less likely but realistic risk is recurrence of hardware or biological complications, including electrode thread retraction, signal degradation, infection, or surgical adverse events. Because the 2024 timeline already included a thread-retraction issue, regulators and clinicians would scrutinize any repeat problem closely.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.6%
- Technology -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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