Possible scenario
Delisting Eventually Proceeds
25% Chance
Legal pressure and the earlier 2024 court victory push the EU toward delisting one or both oligarchs after additional negotiations with Latvia. The Council may accept that keeping weakly evidenced designations risks further adverse rulings and damages claims.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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