Possible scenario
Plan Is Reworked
20% Chance
The administration may decide the fastest way to avoid a deeper legal defeat is to revise the scope of the project. A narrower plan with more public process would preserve some of Trump’s preferred changes while reducing exposure to claims that the work was rushed or unauthorized.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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