Possible scenario
Direct Stakes Accelerate
42% Chance
Large cloud and AI companies move from long-term offtake contracts into minority equity stakes in copper, lithium and rare-earth projects. This is the most likely path because it secures supply without requiring tech firms to operate mines directly.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.3%
- Technology +0.5%
Tickers
- FCX+2.5%
- +1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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