Possible scenario
Trump Keeps Guilfoyle
25% Chance
Trump decides not to fire Guilfoyle immediately, prioritizing loyalty and resisting pressure from lawmakers. The decision prolongs scrutiny of the Athens embassy and keeps the LNG lobbying allegations in the political news cycle.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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