Possible scenario
Guilfoyle Removed Quickly
45% Chance
Trump concludes the misconduct allegations are too politically costly and removes Kimberly Guilfoyle as U.S. ambassador to Greece within days. The White House frames the decision as a personnel matter while the State Department probe continues in a narrower form.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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