Limited UEFA Sanction

UEFA's Control, Ethics and Disciplinary Body finds enough video and witness evidence to punish the Israeli player, but treats the incident as an individual misconduct case rather than a federation-level matter. This is the most likely path because UEFA typically contains post-match misconduct through bans, fines, and formal warnings unless there is crowd violence or refusal to play.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.