Possible scenario
Industry Self-Regulates
20% Chance
Major AI firms attempt to preempt legislation by adopting voluntary authentication, red-teaming, and incident-reporting standards. This is plausible because labs have incentives to show responsiveness without accepting a statutory development freeze.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.5%
- Technology +0.3%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- ADBE+1.1%
- MSFT+0.6%
- GOOG+0.4%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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