Possible scenario
Campaign Damage Widens
23% Chance
Opponents use the spending report to portray Paxton as ethically compromised and personally benefiting from taxpayer-funded protection. The story is especially damaging if suburban Republicans and independents connect it to his prior impeachment and fraud-case history.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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