Possible scenario
Political Pushback Builds
20% Chance
A less likely but plausible outcome is that the growing list of crypto-linked OCC charters draws criticism from lawmakers, state regulators, or banking-policy groups. The pushback does not immediately reverse Bastion's approval, but it creates uncertainty around future applicants and permissible activities.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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