Denial Contains Crisis

Egypt rejects responsibility and Sudan's army says the deaths resulted from RSF activity or misidentification in an active battle zone. Given Egypt's long support for Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and its interest in avoiding an open regional war, the most likely path is a contained diplomatic dispute with limited outside-market impact.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.