Possible scenario
Another Roadster Delay
20% Chance
Tesla either delays the substantive reveal again or confirms that Roadster production is not ready on the previously implied timeline. Given reservation holders have already waited nine years, another delay would directly damage credibility around Tesla’s product road map.
Tickers
- TSLA-4.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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