Possible scenario
Democrats Neutralize Spending
28% Chance
Democrats blunt the Republican paid-media advantage through candidate quality, abortion-rights messaging, and late outside spending. The GOP still outspends Democrats, but the marginal impact of additional ads falls in already saturated battleground markets.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.4%
- Business Services +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- NXST+1.3%
- +1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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