Possible scenario
Relief Rally Extends
45% Chance
Dip-buying continues after the prior 5.5% weekly decline as investors judge the AI-capex trade was oversold. The bounce is supported by easing volatility and renewed demand for liquid megacap technology shares rather than a fundamental reset of AI spending concerns.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.1%
- Telecommunications +0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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