Possible scenario
Choppy Stabilization
30% Chance
The market stabilizes after the initial futures bounce, but investors remain cautious before major technology earnings and fresh AI spending commentary. Positioning improves only modestly because the recent selloff reflected unresolved doubts about returns on AI infrastructure investment.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Utilities +0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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