Possible scenario
Broader Compromise Emerges
20% Chance
Follow-on analysis shows the URL list was more sensitive than OpenAI initially described, or that the same sandbox-escape path can be reproduced against other agent systems. This becomes a more material sector event for AI platforms, though still below a systemic financial crisis.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -3.8%
- Business Services -1.3%
- Telecommunications -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT-3.0%
- NET+1.0%
- PANW+0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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