Possible scenario
Blakeman Upsets Hochul
31% Chance
Bruce Blakeman converts the Jewish voter swing into a broader Republican upset by pairing Orthodox turnout with suburban frustration over crime, taxes, and education policy. The result would be New York's biggest gubernatorial political shock since George Pataki's 1994 victory.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Business Services +0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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