Possible scenario
Backlash Stays Contained
38% Chance
James Talarico limits the political damage by arguing the donation is legally made to an outside PAC and not controlled by his campaign. Democratic voters remain focused on Ken Paxton, abortion, corruption allegations and Trump’s endorsement, keeping the Senate race close.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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