Possible scenario
Ethics Review Opens
25% Chance
Watchdog groups or political opponents file a complaint focused on disclosure, conflicts of interest, or votes affecting tariffs and procurement. The most realistic consequence is a process-driven ethics review rather than an immediate legal finding.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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