Possible scenario
Negotiations Grind On
30% Chance
Both governments avoid a rupture but fail to settle the energy dispute quickly. The USMCA review continues with energy placed into a longer technical track, keeping uncertainty elevated for private investors.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.4%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- TALO-1.1%
- SRE-0.8%
- TRP-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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