Possible scenario
Rogers Rebounds
30% Chance
Mike Rogers uses the debate to consolidate Republicans, reassure independents, and cast El-Sayed as too progressive for Michigan. Trump's endorsement helps with the GOP base, while Rogers' Canada tariff split gives him a limited opening with auto-linked voters.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Energy +0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- F+0.4%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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