Possible scenario
Bitcoin Narrative Defends
28% Chance
Bitcoin investors push back on the idea that onchain activity should replace monetary-premium narratives. Spot ETF demand, institutional custody, and balance-sheet adoption keep Bitcoin resilient despite the basket exclusion.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- MSTR+2.1%
- COIN+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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