Possible scenario
Map Stays Mixed
22% Chance
The campaign blitz changes enthusiasm more than fundamentals, leaving Senate control unclear. Investors and political operatives see the same map as before: Ohio as a prime GOP target, Georgia as a top Democratic defense, and North Carolina as an open-seat toss-up.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Finance +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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