Possible scenario
Discovery Fight Escalates
35% Chance
OpenAI presses its accusation that Apple received more than 100 leaked hardware files and asks the court for faster discovery, device imaging, and depositions. The most likely near-term path is a procedural escalation rather than an immediate merits ruling, keeping both companies in an adversarial posture.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- AAPL-1.9%
- MSFT-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.