Republican Faction Fight
−0.1%
Republicans spend the first post-election year fighting over whether Trump, Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, turnout operations, or abortion politics caused the statewide collapse. The party remains powerful in many legislative districts but struggles to present a unified statewide message.
What it moves
- Energy+0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.