Possible scenario
Conditional Charter Approval
42% Chance
The OCC follows the path used for Bastion and advances Rain's application with operational, capital, compliance, and supervisory conditions. This is the most likely outcome because the agency has already shown willingness to consider crypto-focused trust charters after Congress passed stablecoin legislation.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+1.3%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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