Possible scenario
Hinojosa Momentum Builds
35% Chance
Gina Hinojosa converts early polling strength and national Democratic attention into a sustained fundraising advantage. Gavin Newsom's email is treated as proof that major Democratic figures see Texas as genuinely competitive in 2026.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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