Boycott Becomes Norm

The most likely outcome is that the Durban process continues, but with permanently reduced legitimacy among the United States, Canada, Israel, Australia, the United Kingdom and a growing group of European democracies. The boycott becomes a recurring diplomatic marker rather than a market-moving geopolitical crisis.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.