Possible scenario
Local Order Restored
45% Chance
Hampshire Constabulary contains the disorder around Gosport Marina with visible patrols, dispersal powers and charging decisions for the 12 arrested protesters. The Home Office keeps the focus on local public order rather than announcing an immediate national migration-policy shift.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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