Possible scenario
Glut Persists
45% Chance
The most likely path is that high storage, associated gas from the Permian, and steady dry-gas output keep Henry Hub below the psychologically important $3/MMBtu level. Producers face renewed pressure to slow drilling or defer completions, while gas-intensive buyers benefit from lower feedstock costs.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -1.2%
- Utilities +0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Tickers
- EQT-2.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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