Possible scenario
Warrants Advance Probe
35% Chance
A federal magistrate judge grants at least some search-warrant applications, allowing investigators to obtain devices, records, or DNA-related evidence. This is the most likely path because the recent sequence of subpoenas, trash searches, and DNA requests suggests investigators are trying to corroborate identity, residency, or funding-related claims before deciding on charges.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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