Possible scenario
Court Narrows Case
30% Chance
Defense counsel successfully challenges parts of the investigative theory, especially if prosecutors rely on citizenship or identity claims already reviewed in 2019. The case continues, but the court limits search authority or excludes weaker lines of inquiry.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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