Contained Airport Disruption

42%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Saudi authorities restore flight operations at Dammam and Riyadh after tightening air defenses and civil aviation procedures. Ansar Allah claims success but does not immediately demonstrate a higher-tempo capability against core Saudi economic infrastructure.

What it moves

Energy+0.6%
Consumer Services−0.5%
Market volatility▲ up
Oil prices▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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