Possible scenario
Federal Investigation Deepens
25% Chance
The Justice Department or DHS Inspector General takes a more formal role after public attention focuses on the presence of the 5-year-old in the vehicle and the number of rounds fired. This path raises legal risk for the officer and reputational risk for ICE, but still does not represent a broad macro-market event.
Tickers
- GEO-1.2%
- CXW-1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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