Possible scenario
Pre-Salt Ramp Continues
45% Chance
Brazil sustains record or near-record crude output as pre-salt assets continue to perform and Petrobras executes its offshore investment plan. Non-OPEC supply growth becomes a larger factor in Atlantic Basin balances, but the market reaction remains mostly confined to oil and energy equities.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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