Possible scenario
Ethics Scrutiny Builds
25% Chance
Opponents and watchdog groups use the disclosure to question whether presidential financial activity conflicts with antitrust and trade policy affecting Big Tech. This creates reputational risk and a short-lived governance overhang, but near-term market effects remain limited.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.8%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.4%
Tickers
- AMZN-1.4%
- MSFT-1.2%
- AAPL-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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