Possible scenario
Blacklist Remains
35% Chance
The most likely path is that the appeals-court refusal leaves the Pentagon blacklist in force while the merits appeal proceeds. Anthropic remains excluded from near-term Defense Department AI work, and procurement officers steer sensitive programs toward vendors willing to accept Pentagon use-case terms.
Tickers
- PLTR+1.7%
- MSFT+0.7%
- GOOG+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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