Possible scenario
Legal Authority Challenged
25% Chance
Opponents argue the CFTC is filling a statutory gap after the Senate rejected the CLARITY Act. The rule remains in force initially, but uncertainty over agency authority slows some compliance investments.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- GLXY-2.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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