Possible scenario
Localized Botnet Outbreak
25% Chance
A more severe but still bounded scenario is that attackers adapt the technique into a consumer IoT botnet. Propagation affects routers, cameras, smart displays, and low-cost edge AI boxes, creating outages and emergency patching without becoming a systemic internet event.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.5%
- Telecommunications -1.2%
- Industrials -0.5%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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