Possible scenario
GOP blocks probes
25% Chance
Republicans retain House control or hold enough procedural leverage to prevent Democratic-led subpoenas. Democrats continue issuing reports and letters, but without gavels the investigations have limited legal force.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- DJT+3.0%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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