Possible scenario
Losses Stay Contained
42% Chance
Bitget uses reserves, insurance-like recovery funds, and emergency credit lines to honor withdrawals and avoid a balance-sheet crisis. This is the most likely path because major exchanges have strong incentives to prevent a confidence run after the Bybit precedent.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Tickers
- COIN+1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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