Possible scenario
Davis Holds Seat
52% Chance
Rep. Don Davis converts his 47-39 polling lead into a general-election win in North Carolina's 1st District. His centrist voting record and crossover support in a Trump-carried seat allow him to survive the Republican-leaning redraw.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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