Possible scenario
Competitive Bid Emerges
10%
0.0%
A rival strategic or financial buyer tests Lumentum’s willingness to accept Marvell stock at little or no premium. This is less likely than a bilateral Marvell deal, but Lumentum’s AI optics capacity and long-dated backlog make the asset strategically valuable.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.