Possible scenario
Democratic Backlash Builds
25% Chance
El-Sayed's overtures to RFK Jr. supporters create discomfort among public-health professionals, suburban Democrats, and party-aligned donors. Republicans use the strategy to portray him as inconsistent, while centrist Democrats worry it weakens the party's message on science and vaccines.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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