Possible scenario
Crossover Strategy Works
35% Chance
Abdul El-Sayed successfully reframes parts of RFK Jr.'s coalition around anti-corporate health care, food regulation, and skepticism of pharmaceutical influence. He retains most Democratic voters while peeling off enough independents and disaffected Trump-RFK voters to improve his general-election position.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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