Possible scenario
Talks Drift Longer
30% Chance
Democrats maintain their block, but neither side wants to abandon the broader permitting package. The likely result is a short delay, with negotiators trying to define enforceable treatment for the five offshore wind projects without unraveling Republican support.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.8%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
Tickers
- ES-1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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